Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for SARAI-19 in Fiji, Tonga, Niue from 26 Dec 2019 06:00 UTC to 18:00

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SARAI-19

in Fiji, Tonga, Niue

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SARAI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Fiji, Tonga, Niue
Exposed population	10 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	130 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (28 Dec 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	120 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	130 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

120 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2400 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	26 Dec 2019 06:00	120	1 million	90 thousand	Fiji
2	26 Dec 2019 12:00	120	1 million	10 thousand	Fiji
3	26 Dec 2019 18:00	120	1 million	2 thousand	Fiji

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	26 Dec 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	6900 people	-13.2, 176.2
2	26 Dec 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	370000 people	-14.4, 175.8	Fiji
3	26 Dec 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	790000 people	-15.7, 175.5	Fiji
3	27 Dec 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	770000 people	-17.6, 175.5	Fiji
3	27 Dec 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	800000 people	-18.5, 176.2	Fiji
3	28 Dec 2019 06:00	Category 1	120	2400 people	900000 people	-19.1, 177.4	Fiji
3	28 Dec 2019 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	900000 people	-19.4, 178.6	Fiji
3	29 Dec 2019 18:00	Category 1	120	<1000 people	440000 people	-19.9, -178.9	Tonga
3	30 Dec 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	110000 people	-20.2, -175.7	Niue
3	31 Dec 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-19.8, -171.6

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Fiji

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Fiji	Fiji

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Nasau		Fiji	City	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Namaka, Fiji. This height is estimated for 28 Dec 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (123 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 26 Dec 2019 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	28 Dec 2019 00:00	Namaka	Fiji	0.4
	28 Dec 2019 12:00	Nasau	Fiji	0.4
	27 Dec 2019 23:00	Lautoka	Fiji	0.4
	27 Dec 2019 22:00	Somosomo	Fiji	0.3
	29 Dec 2019 05:00	Andako	Fiji	0.3
	27 Dec 2019 13:00	Tavua	Fiji	0.3
	27 Dec 2019 22:00	Soso	Fiji	0.3
	27 Dec 2019 22:00	Momi	Fiji	0.3
	28 Dec 2019 12:00	Talaulia	Fiji	0.3
	28 Dec 2019 14:00	Mburelevu	Fiji	0.3
	28 Dec 2019 14:00	Mokoisa	Fiji	0.3
	28 Dec 2019 00:00	Cautata	Fiji	0.3
	28 Dec 2019 00:00	Nasilai	Fiji	0.3
	27 Dec 2019 16:00	Solevu	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 22:00	Rabulu	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 17:00	Tavua	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 23:00	Dromuna	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 22:00	Togowere	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 16:00	Soso	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 23:00	Nawailevu	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 23:00	Nalauwaki	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 14:00	Namara	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 15:00	Kaduvu	Fiji	0.2
	29 Dec 2019 20:00	Monothaki	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Nacula	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Navotua	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Tamusua	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 16:00	Naruwai	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 12:00	Naikorokoro	Fiji	0.2
	29 Dec 2019 22:00	Ongea	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 11:00	Vatutandova	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 00:00	Navindamu	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Nailanga	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Sorokoba	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 20:00	Natunuka	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Nadi	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 15:00	Nukuvou	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 13:00	Navuti	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 13:00	Nasaga	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 13:00	Lovoni	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 23:00	Mbatiri	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Bouwanga	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Taunovo	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 15:00	Pacific Harbour	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 17:00	Gasele	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 15:00	Nabouwalu	Fiji	0.2
	30 Dec 2019 17:00	Foui	Tonga	0.2
	30 Dec 2019 18:00	Pangai	Tonga	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 13:00	Navinggiri	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 23:00	Lomawal	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 22:00	Yangganga	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 11:00	Waisomo	Fiji	0.2
	29 Dec 2019 22:00	Namuka	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Korovou	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 22:00	Ndenimanu	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 23:00	Cuvu	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 23:00	Sigatoka	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 23:00	Laselase	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 01:00	Vatukarasa	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Nasau	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 12:00	Nalotu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 12:00	Vunisea	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 15:00	Kavala	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 14:00	Vabea	Fiji	0.1
	30 Dec 2019 18:00	Nukunuku	Tonga	0.1
	30 Dec 2019 18:00	Houma	Tonga	0.1
	30 Dec 2019 18:00	Pea	Tonga	0.1
	30 Dec 2019 18:00	Nuku'alofa	Tonga	0.1
	30 Dec 2019 18:00	Fuaamotu	Tonga	0.1
	30 Dec 2019 18:00	Mua	Tonga	0.1
	30 Dec 2019 18:00	Fatumu	Tonga	0.1
	30 Dec 2019 18:00	Kolonga	Tonga	0.1
	30 Dec 2019 18:00	Niutoua	Tonga	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 23:00	Nagumu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 00:00	Savu Sau	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Matayalevu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 01:00	Korolevu	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 22:00	Nayavutoka	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 01:00	Korovisilou	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 01:00	Mau	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 13:00	Naimasimasi	Fiji	0.1
	30 Dec 2019 18:00	Ohonua	Tonga	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Korosi	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Ucunivanua	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Sisili	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Teci	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Mbukama	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Yasawairara	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 20:00	Nanukuloa	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Yanutha	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 05:00	Keteira	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 23:00	Nanduri	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Naweni	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 22:00	Koroinasolo	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Rakiraki	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Vaileka	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 02:00	Ndalomo	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 22:00	Nabouwalu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 12:00	Galoa	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Dakuimbeqa	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Lalati	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 00:00	Tamavua	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 00:00	Lauthala Bay	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 00:00	Laucala	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 00:00	Lokia	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Lodoni	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Viani	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Matacawalevu	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 22:00	Naingani	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Matavuralevu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Navua	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Naitionitoni	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Thavanga	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 01:00	Kalokolevu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 05:00	Suva	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 11:00	Kasavu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 05:00	Nausori	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Lawaki	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Korotasere	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Nakarambo	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Ndrekeniwai	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 23:00	Rukuruku	Fiji	0.1
	30 Dec 2019 01:00	Liku	Fiji	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.